State of the Brand :: by Jason Voiovich

A weekly discussion of how branding affects the world around you.

Who really is the low price leader?

Posted on | March 16, 2009 | No Comments

Author:
Jason Voiovich
Ecra Creative Group

Key Points:
1. Claims made by major grocery retailers regarding low prices are not always warranted by an objective review.
2. Grocers (and other retailers) use common techniques – low price shockers, non-comparable packaging, and consistent advertising to nevertheless reinforce this perception.
3. That brand position has paid off materially for Wal-Mart, and hurt Target, even though the two retailers closely track and match each other’s pricing.

It all started with 1% milk.

As my two boys get older, we burn through an alarming amount of what I now refer to as ‘white gold’. That prompted a careful reevaluation of what we pay for it. And I thought I was getting a good deal; while my family buys most of its groceries at SuperTarget, we made a special trip to Cub Foods to buy its Value Twin Pack (two gallons of milk physically connected with a plastic carrier).

It turns out, it was not such a good deal after all.

The regular-price twin pack rang up at $6.58, or $3.29 per gallon. Obviously, when you buy in bulk, you get a better deal, right? Not so. Target’s regular price: $2.99 per gallon. In other words, I was paying $0.58 for the privilege of an extra shopping trip to Cub Foods.

So that got me thinking; how else have I been influenced by a ‘low price’ brand position at the supermarket? I wanted to find out.

I decided to conduct an experiment – to put brand positions to the test (at least a small one). Using a sample of a dozen products our family buys each week, I compared the prices at Target, Cub Foods, and Wal-Mart. Here are my results:

Chart

First off, a few caveats. I shopped between March 10, 2009 and March 13, 2009. That narrow window could lead to variations in pricing (some items were ‘on sale’ – such as milk at Cub this week, but other items were not). Also, while slightly representative, the list I am sharing with you is pretty narrow. Your experience could be very different.

Even so, I think you would find my experiment quite enlightening if you were to repeat it yourself. What do you notice right away? Overall, the prices really are not that different. Wal-Mart and Target were within a dollar of each other, but Cub Foods tended to be cheaper on ‘staples’.

To put it simply: Are the brand positions staked out by Wal-Mart as ‘unbeatable’, Cub Foods’ claim that it is the ‘low price leader’, or Target’s ‘eat well – pay less’ slogan really warranted by evidence?

My test would seem to say ‘no’.

But why then are Wal-Mart and Cub Foods so successful (and Target much less so) at convincing people they are the place to find the bargains?

A few ways.

First are the ‘price shockers’ (Cub’s term, and one of my favorites). This is an old retail trick; pick a staple item that everybody buys and cut the price to some ridiculous level. Yes, you’ll lose money on that item, but not only is it a way to clear out an excess of inventory, it is a powerful way to frame the low-price brand position in a customer’s mind. Consumers will associate that ultra-low-price with everything else in the store, even when clearly that is not the case. (The mega-discounters Sam’s Club and Costco do this with impunity; check for yourself).

Next are non-comparable sizes. Let’s say you’re a skeptic (like me) and you begin to try to compare multiple stores to find the best deal. That works if you have comparables, but in many cases you don’t. Wal-Mart might sell a 32-ounce box of cereal; Target a 28-ounce box; and Cub a 42-ounce box. Now it gets tough. This is especially true with soda, and the reason I couldn’t include that (and many other items) in my example above. Most people just won’t do the math.

Finally, you have good old-fashioned, drive it through your skull advertising. Wal-Mart doesn’t mess around; they do not go off-message. It is low price all the time. Cub Foods is pretty disciplined as well. Target is having trouble finding its voice, and it clearly is costing them.

Beyond the micro-level – the individual shopper – what does this brand position ultimately mean?

As one measure, let’s take a look at a stock price comparison. On September 12, 2008, Wal-Mart (WMT) shares traded for $62.41, Target (TGT) shares for $57.26 (Cub trades along with its parent – SuperValu – so the comparison isn’t quite fair). As of market close on March 12, 2009 (six month’s later), Wal-Mart had dipped to $48.94, but Target had plunged to $28.49. For a pair of stocks trading at nearly identical levels, Target’s drop has been precipitous.

And why is that? Of course, there are a myriad of factors, but analysts seem to agree that Target’s brand position as the more ‘stylish’ of the two mega-retailers meant consumers were going to flock to Wal-Mart – and its low prices – instead. And consumers in large numbers did just that.

If you ever doubted tangible brand value, I give you $23 billion in wiped-out market capitalization at Target as Exhibit A.

Listen Now:
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Related Links:
Google Finance Stock Quote for Wal-Mart (WMT)
Google Finance Stock Quote for Target (TGT)

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Jason Voiovich
director_corporate marketing, Logic PD
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